Irene — Barra de Navidad Tropical Watch

Eastern Pacific Tropical Watch

GREEN

All clear — no tropical threat to the Jalisco/Colima coast

S/V Irene · Barra de Navidad, Jalisco · 19.2°N, 104.68°W · Eastern Pacific basin

Named storms threatening coast	None
Active EPAC tropical cyclones	None
Nearest disturbance	Broad low, few hundred mi S of SW Mexico
Its 7-day formation chance	50% (medium) · 20% / 48h
Its forecast track	WNW, staying well offshore
Second disturbance (EP91)	S of Baja tip · 80% / 7d · moving away
Other active named systems	Hurricane Lala & TD Two-C — Central Pacific
Threat to Jalisco/Colima coast	None

Nothing is aimed at Barra. There are no tropical cyclones anywhere in the Eastern Pacific right now. The nearest thing to watch is a broad low a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico — NHC gives it a medium chance of becoming a depression over the weekend or early next week, but the forecast keeps it tracking west-northwest and well off the Mexican coast. A second, better-organized low south of Baja is more likely to develop but is heading away from land. Hurricane Lala and TD Two-C are Central Pacific storms near Hawaii, thousands of miles off. Normal peak-season vigilance, no action needed.

Generated Aug 22, 2026 04:05 CST (Barra de Navidad local) · Based on the NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook issued 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 21 2026 (Forecaster Cangialosi/Pierce), the latest issuance retrievable at run time, cross-checked against NHC's Aug 22 update that the wave south of southwestern Mexico will move west-northwestward well off the coast · Sources: NHC EPAC Outlook

Barra de Navidad — Daily Weather